盐湖城的房价还会涨吗,一个房地产经纪人的分享

今天地产业最大的问题就是,犹他地产是否会成为泡沫产业,然后紧接着问的问题就是什么时候地产泡沫会破。其实地产专家和经济学学者都认为犹他地产不是泡沫化的产业而且下一次地产的奔溃也不会像上一次这么严重,这是因为近几年房子短缺,通过加速建造来增加房子的库存看来不是很有效,其实这十年间我们已经在快速建造房子但是成效甚微。下一个对于需求的遏止会是提高房屋贷款利率,所以预计今年后半年或是明年前半年利率会开始上涨一点。然而尽管如此却不能解决房子短缺的问题只能解决一下供需平衡的问题。大部分的经济学家认为提高房屋贷款利率能够限制目前疯狂的房屋销售。房屋市场目前看来还是最好的长期投资不管作为自住房或是投资房都是最佳的长期投资。

The big question I hear in real estate today is: is this a bubble? And the big statement I hear about real estate is: I’m waiting for the next crash. Well, real estate experts and most economists do not believe we have a bubble, and the next crash is unlikely to be anything like the one everyone remembers. This is because current conditions are a result of extremely low inventory. Increasing inventory by building more homes seems unlikely since we have been building like crazy for 10 years and we are not even making a dent in the available supply. The reason for the next slowdown will be rising interest rates, possible to start rising late this year or in 2022. However rising interest rates will not increase inventory but simply reduce demand. Most economist believe higher interest rates will slow the increasing value and take the wind out of the ‘crazy’ sails. Real estate still looks to be the best long-term investment, either as a homeowner or investor.

 

Bob Cusick, ABR, GRI

Realtypath, South Valley

(801) 604-7462

www.BobMyRealtor.com

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